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Prolific Jesus a must for FPL forward lines

The Scout 3 May 2017
Middlesbrough v Manchester City

Man City striker boasts a far superior goal conversion rate to Sergio Aguero as Fantasy managers make their move

Returning to the Manchester City line-up and back in the goals, Gabriel Jesus (£8.7m) is proving an irresistible option for Fantasy Premier League managers ahead of a promising season run-in.

Jesus registered four goals and an assist over four Gameweek starts after bursting onto the Premier League stage in January, picking up six bonus points in the process.

Following a 13-point haul in a 2-1 win over Swansea City in Gameweek 24, Jesus was drafted in by 200,000+ managers, with his price soaring to £9.3m. 

But a foot injury suffered against AFC Bournemouth in Gameweek 25 derailed that initial surge of interest.

Now back to full fitness, Jesus, whose ownership remains at a mere 3.4%, looks primed for a strong finish to the campaign.

He was back on Pep Guardiola’s teamsheet at Middlesbrough on Sunday, completing 90 minutes and scoring an equaliser in the 2-2 draw. 

Manchester City's Sergio Aguero
Sergio Aguero's goal conversion rate is far inferior to Gabriel Jesus's

Sergio Aguero (£12.8m) partnered Jesus in attack at the Riverside Stadium. But the Argentina forward suffered a groin injury late on, casting doubt over his pitch-time over the remaining four fixtures.

That has served to strengthen Jesus as an FPL prospect, who could be poised to lead the Man City attack for their final four fixtures.

Assessing his underlying statistics against those of Aguero, it becomes clear why the Brazilian is held in such esteem by his manager and potential FPL suitors.

Jesus v Aguero
  Aguero Jesus
Goal conversion 14.1% 30.8%
Mins per big chance 96.9 46.7

Jesus has netted four times from 13 shots – a 30.8% goal conversion rate that more than doubles Aguero’s 14.1%.

The 20-year-old’s movement and predatory instincts have led to him having seven "big chances" – one every 46.7 minutes. Again, this compares strongly with Aguero, who has been granted a "big chance" every 96.9 minutes.

Man City are now treated to three successive home matches as they look to claim a top-four finish and ensure UEFA Champions League football for next season.

See: Schedule suggests Man City and Liverpool shootout

They entertain Crystal Palace on Saturday, before hosting Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 37.

A trip to Watford on the final weekend gives Man City four remaining opponents who all score two in the Fixture Difficulty Rankings (FDR). 

With fitness doubts surrounding Aguero and a £4.1m gap in price, Jesus appears to be a standout option for the season run-in.

Brought in by more than 87,000 FPL managers already ahead of Gameweek 36, that trend will surely continue as form and fixtures align.

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