Liverpool took a big step towards a Premier League top-four finish with a win at Watford on Monday, and a glance at their remaining fixtures suggests they should be confident of holding onto UEFA Champions League qualification.
See: Premier League table
The FDR is based on an algorithm analysing the performance statistics for each team across home and away matches, combining this with form over the past six fixtures to create a perceived difficulty value.
The values are simplified into ratings from 1 to 5, with 5 being the highest difficulty of a match.
Although Liverpool have only three fixtures left to play, their FDR average is 2.33 – better than all but one of their direct rivals.
|36||SOU (H)||CRY (H)||ARS (A)||MUN (H); SOU (A)||SWA (A)|
|37||WHU (A)||LEI (H); WBA (H)||TOT (A); SOU (A)||STK (A); SUN (H)||WAT (H)|
|38||MID (H)||WAT (A)||CRY (H)||EVE (H)||ARS (A)|
The only team with a more promising end-of-season schedule is Manchester City.
Pep Guardiola's side are three points behind Liverpool but, crucially, have a match in hand. Their goal difference is currently inferior to that of the Reds but their remaining fixtures, three of which are at home, present a great opportunity to beat the Merseysiders to third place.
Although they are on their longest-ever unbeaten run in a Premier League season, Manchester United have a tough task to break into the top four.
They have by far the toughest run-in, travelling to fellow top-four hopefuls Arsenal, second-placed Tottenham Hotspur and Southampton in successive Matchweeks before ending the season at home to relegation-battlers Crystal Palace.