Fantasy Premier League

Why bonus points boost Morris’s potential as FPL captain

By The Scout 28 Sep 2023
Carlton Morris, Luton

The Scout analyses whether Hatters’ two matches make their forward a better captain than Haaland

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Luton Town’s Double Gameweek 7 can make Carlton Morris (£5.6m) the best alternative to Erling Haaland (£14.1m) for the captaincy in Fantasy Premier League.

The Hatters are one of only two sides to play twice in this round of fixtures, visiting Everton this weekend before entertaining Burnley on Tuesday evening.

Haaland, meanwhile, visits Wolverhampton Wanderers in Manchester City’s only match of the Gameweek.

Morris has been quick to show his importance to Luton since their promotion. 

Indeed, he has been involved in all three of their goals, scoring two and assisting one.

FPL experts: Should you bring in a Double Gameweek player?

That has helped him average 5.2 points per match (ppm), which places him joint-fourth along with Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins (£7.9m) and Nottingham Forest's Taiwo Awoniyi (£6.6m) among forwards. 

Haaland has averaged 8.5ppm thanks to eight goals and an assist.

Haaland v Morris FPL comparison
Stat Haaland Morris
Points 51 26
Goals 8 2
Assists 1 1
Bonus 6 5
Points per match 8.5 5.2

The underlying numbers could barely be more favourable for the Norwegian.

His 31 shots in the box are more than three times the 10 of Morris, while Haaland has had 15 big chances, compared with only three for the Luton striker.

Notably, two of those big chances for Morris were converted penalties, with the Hatters’ striker yet to score from open play this season.

Haaland v Morris attacking threat
Stat Haaland Morris
Shots 31 13
Shots in box 31 10
Big chances 15 3
Chances created 7 3

On pure goal threat alone, then, it’s simply no contest.

However, Morris’s potential for bonus points, which is determined by the Bonus Points System (BPS), is the one plus in his favour.

He scored and collected two bonus in Luton’s 4-1 loss to Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 1, earning eight points.

His goal against Wolves in a 1-1 draw last weekend helped him to the maximum three bonus and a total of nine points.

Essentially, then, Morris's lack of competition from team-mates in the BPS means he is near-certain to pick up bonus whenever he scores. 

See: Talisman Morris among best picks for FPL Double Gameweek 7

Haaland, by contrast, has only earned bonus when he has scored at least two goals in a match this season.

He scored once against Sheffield United, West Ham United and Nottingham Forest in the last four Gameweeks but received no bonus points as he was overshadowed by a number of team-mates in the BPS.

Haaland's GW6 goal v Nott'm Forest

As the underlying statistics show, Haaland’s multitude of scoring chances means going against him with the captaincy is a very risky tactic.

But for those prepared to take that risk, Morris’s two matches, allied with his ability to collect bonus whenever he scores, suggests he could be the best alternative.

View all the latest FPL tips ahead of Gameweek 7 in Fantasy Premier League

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