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Oracle awards return for 2022/23

25 May 2023
Oracle Awards with colour

How the Most Improbable Comeback and Most Powerful Goal powered by Oracle will be decided

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Spurs win 2021/22 Oracle Most Improbable Comeback award

Breathtaking goals, breathless comebacks - and the sense that anything can happen, at any time - are fundamental to what makes the Premier League so enjoyable to millions of fans around the world.  

And to formally enshrine them, Oracle have their two awards returning for a second season: the Most Powerful Goal and Most Improbable Comeback.

Oracle uses advanced performance data and machine learning to deliver real-time in-match statistics, providing a deeper understanding of the live action to a huge global audience.

Most Powerful Goal

Said Benrahma's goal in West Ham United's 2-1 defeat by Crystal Palace in November claimed the prize this year, with an average speed of 107.17km/h!

Several players broke the 100km/h barrier this season, but none could match the speed of Benrahma's shot that opened the scoring at the London Stadium.

Only goals scored from outside the area, without a deflection off another player, will be considered for the award.

The speed is measured as an average from the moment the ball is struck to the point it crosses the line.

Most Improbable Comeback

The Most Improbable Comeback award for 2022/23 went to AFC Bournemouth for their 3-2 win at Nottingham Forest in September.

Trailing 2-0 at the City Ground going into the 51st minute, the struggling Cherries fought back to claim a much-needed three points at the City Ground.

The Most Improbable Comeback award is based on the Win Probability Statistic developed by Stats Perform, which calculates the chance of a team securing a win or draw at any position of a game by simulating the remainder of the match 100,000 times. 

The model is based on four years of match data and takes into account if a team are home or away, the current score, penalties awarded, players on the pitch, red cards and time left in the match.

The probability of a win is calculated every minute for every Premier League match in a season, in real-time.

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