Fantasy Premier League

How to make late gains in FPL with your final attacking spots

By The Scout 30 Apr 2024
De bruyne

The Scout highlights players who are being overlooked for final three Gameweeks of 2023/24

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The Scout highlights the low-owned assets who have the form and fixtures to thrive in the final three Gameweeks of 2023/24 Fantasy Premier League.

Millions of managers in Fantasy are likely to have very similar midfields and forward lines ahead of the upcoming Double Gameweek 37 (DGW37). 

Six sides are set to play twice in the penultimate round of fixtures - Brighton & Hove Albion, Chelsea, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur.

As a result, many FPL managers are expected to have a midfield comprised of DGW37 assets Cole Palmer (£6.2m), Phil Foden (£8.3m), Anthony Gordon (£6.3m) and Son Heung-min (£9.9m). Up front, it’s all about Erling Haaland (£14.1m) and Alexander Isak (£8.3m).

That leaves only two spots in attack where managers can be different from each other and make gains in their mini-leagues or the world ranking - and they can only pick seven of their eight attackers in their starting line-up each week. So, who are the best players to target?

Who are the form players?

Chelsea’s Palmer is the top-scoring player in Fantasy over his last four matches, having amassed 53 points thanks to seven goals and an assist.

Bruno Fernandes (£8.5m), who is an injury doubt, has run the 22-year-old the closest among the top-scoring attackers. The Man Utd playmaker has scored five goals and has also supplied an assist to claim 46 points.

Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne (£10.5m) has recently emerged as a key figure in their quest for the title. The Belgian has been involved in six goals in his last four matches, compared with the five of Foden. De Bruyne sits just behind his team-mate on 40 points to 41 over this spell.

Elsewhere, Crystal Palace’s Jean-Philippe Mateta (£5.1m), Arsenal's Kai Havertz (£7.5m), Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (£9.0m) and West Ham United’s Jarrod Bowen (£7.6m) are the most in-form attackers who have a single match in DGW37.

Mateta is the top-scoring forward in Fantasy over his last four matches, collecting 33 points thanks to four goals and an assist.

Havertz’s growing influence on Arsenal’s title bid is highlighted by his hauls of 14 and 13 points in the last two Gameweeks. 

Watkins has matched the German’s 31 points across his last four outings. The forward’s three goals and two assists have kept Villa firmly in pole position to claim fourth spot and a place in the UEFA Champions League next season.

Top-scoring attackers, last four matches
Player Pts G A Bonus
Palmer  53 7 1 6
Fernandes  46 5 1 10
 Foden 41 5 0 6
 De Bruyne 40 3 3 6
 Mateta 33 4 1 6
Watkins 31 3 2 5
Gordon 31 1 4 5
 Havertz 31 3 1 4
Bowen 29 2 3 3
Isak 29 4 0 5
Who’s had the greatest goal threat?

Man Utd’s Alejandro Garnacho (£5.0m) ranks joint-top among all players for shots in the box in his last four matches.

The Argentinian’s 15 shots in the box are matched by Fulham’s Rodrigo Muniz (£4.5m), as are his 16 shots. 

Despite failing to score, Garnacho has had seven shots on target, a total bettered by only two other players in the assessment.

Isak and Haaland’s popularity ahead of DGW37 is more than understandable, with the duo placing among the top three players for both shots in the box and big chances.

However, it’s Mateta who claims top spot for the latter figure with a total of eight.

Both Havertz and Watkins again catch the eye. 

Havertz’s nine shots on target lead the way in the analysis, while his 23.1 per cent goal conversion is identical to Haaland's.

Watkins, meanwhile, leads the way with two big chances created here, while he has also had three of his own.

Players' goal threat, last four matches
Player Shots in box Big chances Shots on target Big chances created
Muniz 15 5 7 0
Garnacho 15 3 7 1
Haaland 13 7 6 1
Isak 13 6 7 1
Brereton 12 3 8 0
Watkins 12 3 7 2
Saka 12 1 4 0
Mateta 11 8 7 0
Havertz 11 4 9 1
Kluivert 11 4 7 0
Doku 11 1 4 0
Who's been the most creative?

A list of the top creators in their last four matches immediate flags up the all-round potential offered by Fernandes, Palmer, De Bruyne and Bukayo Saka (£9.0m).

Fernandes’ 18 key passes place top among all players in Fantasy across their last four outings, while his six big chances created are second only to De Bruyne.

Both playmakers have also recorded eight shots on target in that run, putting them joint-third among all players in Fantasy.

Palmer’s 22 shots and 12 shots on target are both league-high totals, while he has also made 12 key passes, a total bettered by only four other players.

Saka, meanwhile, is the only player to feature in both tables thanks to his 12 shots in the box and 11 key passes. 

Notably, Arsenal are the only team who have more than one player in the creativity table, with Martin Odegaard (£8.6m) supplying 13 key passes. The Norwegian has produced one goal and two assists in his last three appearances. 

Player creativity, last four matches
Player Key Passes Big chances created  Shots in box Big chances Shots on target
Fernandes 18 6  7 5 8
McNeil  13  3 5 0 3
Odegaard 13 2 4 0 1
Palmer 12 1 10 7 12
Christie 12 0 3 0 1
Hamer 12 1 1 0 2
Saka 11 0 12 1 4
De Bruyne 11 7 8 0 8
Diaz 10 0 8 2 4
Maddison 10 1 3 0 1

Rotate device to see the full table

So, who are the best differential attackers?

De Bruyne has the potential for goals, assists and bonus points to stake a very strong claim for a place in managers’ squads.

The same applies to Fernandes if he can shake off his injury, while his team-mate Garnacho also boasts a considerable goal threat at a cheaper cost.

Arsenal’s title race with Man City makes the Gunners' players the best picks among the single Gameweek 37 sides.

Crucially, the Gunners play at home to AFC Bournemouth and Everton on either side of a visit to Man Utd in DGW37.

Havertz is not only their form player in terms of output, his goal threat statistics show why he could easily outscore the majority of players from now until the end of the season.

Saka’s ownership of 55 per cent should certainly give pause for thought before managers offload him, as evidenced by the goal and assist against Spurs last weekend that has helped him climb ahead of Palmer at the top of the midfield standings.

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