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Redmond can deliver for managers who dare

The Scout 26 Oct 2016
Southampton v Burnley

Despite a tricky Chelsea test, The Scout shows numbers arguing why Nathan Redmond can reward his 6.4% ownership

Back-to-back goals highlight the improving form of Nathan Redmond (£5.9m), indicating he can be Southampton's key weapon in the Gameweek 10 test against Chelsea.

After scoring only once in the first seven fixtures, Redmond’s Fantasy Premier League price dropped below his initial value of £6.0m.

The summer signing from Norwich City grabbed Southampton's second goal in a 3-1 home win over Burnley in Gameweek 8 and followed it with the opener against Manchester City last weekend.

On both occasions, he collected two bonus points and returned a nine-point haul. 

Listed as a midfielder in FPL after being used as a winger throughout his career, Redmond has benefitted from a role up front under Claude Puel.

When assessed against his numbers from 2015/16 at Norwich, Redmond has improved considerably.

His touches in the box (up from 2.4 to 5.9), goal attempts (1.5 to 3.1), shots inside the penalty area (0.8 to 2.4) and efforts on target (0.5 to 1.2) are all on the rise. 

Redmond 2015/16 v 2016/17 

 Numbers per match  2015/16  2016/17
 Goal attempts  1.5  3.1
 Penalty area goal attempts  0.8  2.4
 Penalty area touches  2.4  5.9
 Chances created  1.3  2.3
 ICT Index  5.4  9.6

Over the first nine Gameweeks, Redmond has registered 22 attempts inside the penalty area, with only Arsenal’s Theo Walcott (£8.1m; 21.9% ownership), with 25 managing more from midfield.

Redmond’s tally of 11 attempts on target has been bettered by only four FPL midfielders, with popular targets such as Philippe Coutinho (£8.4m; 36.8%) and Alexis Sanchez (£11.3m; 23.8%) registering 12 apiece.

Furthermore, his 2.3 key passes per appearance is again superior to an average of 1.3 in the previous campaign, while his total of 21 chances created is identical to Coutinho's.

Nathan Redmond, Southampton
Theo Walcott (21.9% ownership) is the only FPL midfielder to fire more attempts inside the box than Nathan Redmond (6.4% ownership), above

In spite of his favourable price, Redmond has been acquired by just over 16,000 FPL managers heading into the weekend and is part of 6.4% of squads.

Sunday’s visit of Chelsea will certainly present a big obstacle for Southampton. Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in three successive Gameweeks since a move to a 3-4-3 formation.

But with Puel continuing to manage the pitch time of Charlie Austin (£6.6m) and Dusan Tadic (£7.2m), it could be Redmond, who has played all but three minutes of this campaign, who poses the greatest threat of all to the visitors' newly resilient rearguard.

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