Fantasy Premier League

ICT Analysis: Firmino off to a flyer

By The Scout 5 Sep 2019
Roberto Firmino, Liverpool

The Scout says Liverpool forward is shooting more than any player in FPL ahead of a nice short-term run of fixtures

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The Scout continues a series focusing on the ICT Index, which helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players’ potential.

Roberto Firmino (LIV) £9.5m

The Liverpool striker has been instrumental in their 100 per cent start to the new season.

Firmino has scored twice and also supplied two assists in the first four Gameweeks.

That has helped him to 27 points, placing him joint-fifth among FPL forwards in 2019/20.

The underlying statistics highlight Firmino’s major goal threat for Jurgen Klopp’s side.

Top forwards for ICT Threat GW 1-4
Player ICT Threat Shots Shots in box Goals
Firmino 269 17 12 2
Pukki 217 14 13 5
Haller 217 9 9 3
Aubameyang 215 13 9 3
Rashford 214 16 9 2

His 17 shots on goal are more than any other player in FPL, while his 30 touches inside the box rank top among forwards.

That has helped the Brazilian have a total of 12 shots in the box, second only to the 13 of Teemu Pukki (£7.0m).

Stepping up

Firmino’s displays also compare well when assessed against his start to the previous campaign.

He managed just six shots inside the opposition area in the first four Gameweeks of 2018/19, half his current tally.

His frequency of attempts has also improved considerably.

Firmino is firing a shot on goal every 20.4 minutes this term, far superior to his average of 37.6 minutes per shot at the same stage last season.

Firmino's highlights v Burnley

Liverpool’s upcoming schedule offers further encouragement for Firmino.

According to the Fixture Difficulty Ratings (FDR), two of their next three opponents score just two.

The Reds also face an open Chelsea defence during that period.

Frank Lampard’s men have conceded nine goals in the first four Gameweeks. Only Norwich City, with 10, have let in more.

Firmino can take advantage of those frailties with his improving eye for goal, and help keep Klopp's side at the top of the Premier League and managers atop their FPL mini-leagues.

Also in this series

Part 1: ICT Analysis: Alexander-Arnold a standout supplier
Part 2: ICT Analysis: Tarkowski a major danger
Part 3: ICT Analysis: Lanzini one of FPL's most creative
Part 4: ICT Analysis: Sterling threat beats all rivals
Part 6: ICT Analysis: Wilson assisting Cherries

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