Fantasy Premier League

ICT Analysis: Gross can profit from run-in

The Scout 16 Feb 2019
Pascal Gross, Brighton

The Scout says Brighton playmaker has form to take advantage of upcoming fixtures

The Scout takes a close look at players ranked highly over the last four Gameweeks in the ICT Index

The Index helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players' values as FPL assets through their Influence, Creativity and Threat.

Pascal Gross (£6.7m) 

The Brighton & Hove Albion playmaker has been a major source of creativity in recent matches. 

Top midfielders for ICT Creativity GW23-26*
Player ICT Creativity Chances Created Successful Crosses Assists
Gross 275 19 16 1
Maddison 187 11 14 1
Moutinho 179 13 8 5
Milner 162 11 7 3
Milivojevic 151 9 13 1

*If viewing on device rotate to see full table

Chances galore

Gross has created 19 scoring chances over the last four Gameweeks, at least six more than any other player in FPL.

And despite earning just one assist in that time frame, he also leads the way for successful crosses, with 16.

 

When compared with his previous displays, the Seagulls’ midfielder has made a significant improvement. 

Gross has created a scoring opportunity every 17 minutes over the last four matches, far quicker than his average of 48 minutes over Gameweeks 1 to 22.

Goal threat increase

Encouragingly for Chris Hughton’s side, Gross has also upped his goal threat of late.

His average of 31 minutes per shot in the last four Gameweeks is over three times quicker than his 100.7 minutes per shot beforehand.

Indeed, the German is one of only two FPL midfielders, along with Eden Hazard (£10.8m), to produce double figures for both shots and chances created across Gameweeks 23 to 26.

Although Brighton are without a match in Gameweek 27, their forthcoming schedule hands Gross the platform to end the season in fine form.

According to the Fixture Difficulty Rankings (FDR), five of his next seven opponents score just two.

Brighton's next eight Gameweeks
GW Opp FDR GW Opp FDR
27 None 31 CAR (H) 2
28 LEI (A) 3 32 SOU (H) 2
29 HUD (H) 2 33 TOT (A) 5
30 CRY (A) 2 34 BOU (H) 2

Sitting in just 1.8 per cent of FPL squads, Gross can profit from that run to emerge as a major mid-price differential in midfield.

Also in this series

Part 1: ICT Analysis: Unbeatable value given by Etheridge
Part 2: ICT Analysis: Van Aanholt creativity on the rise
Part 3: ICT Analysis: Chambers offers cut-price solution
Part 5: ICT Analysis: Mane goal threat growing
Part 6: ICT Analysis: Zaha's influence on the rise
Part 7: ICT Analysis: Barnes rivalling Aguero

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