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ICT Index: Goal threat from Salah on a high

The Scout 8 Sep 2018
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool

The Scout explains why the Liverpool star is a runaway leader for goal chances despite scoring only twice

The Scout is looking at the ICT Index, which helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players' values as FPL assets through their Influence, Creativity and Threat.

Midfielders and Threat

Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) is the standout midfielder for Threat in the ICT Index over the opening four Gameweeks.

The Threat component measures a player's potential to produce goals.

Salah has only scored two goals this season but, incredibly, his score of 278.0 is more than 100 clear of any midfield rival. It highlights the Egyptian's huge potential for goals.

Salah's shot rate up

His 19 shots, of which 12 have been inside the penalty box and seven have been on target, are all more than any other midfielder.

The Liverpool winger is also top for big chances in midfield, with five. (A big chance is where the player receiving the pass is expected to score.)

Salah is firing a shot on goal every 17.8 minutes, quicker than his average of 20.3 minutes last season when he scored a record-breaking 303 points.

Also ranked joint-top for chances created, with 13, Salah's underlying statistics show that he remains the go-to premium option in midfield.

Top-ranking midfielders for Threat
Player Team  Mins ICT Threat score
Salah LIV 338 278.0
Mane LIV 342 171.0
Silva MCI 242 164.0
Pedro CHE 265 146.0
Hazard CHE 223 145.0
Schurrle  FUL 239 143.0
Pereyra WAT 356 142.0
Alli TOT 350 133.0
Antonio WHU 228 133.0
Sterling MCI 262 124.0

Salah is followed in the ranking by his team-mate Sadio Mane (£9.9m), on 171.0.

Mane is the top-scoring midfielder in FPL on 39 points, having scored four goals.

But these goals have come from just 10 shots, a high conversion rate of 40 per cent.

Along with Salah, Eden Hazard (£10.7m) and David Silva (£8.5m) are the only players to be among the top 10 midfielders for both Threat and Creativity.

Hazard's Chelsea team-mate Pedro (£6.8m) has scored in three of the first four Gameweeks and has been bought by more than 184,000 managers for a Gameweek 5 home match with Fulham

Cut-price promise

Roberto Pereyra (£6.3m) and Andre Schurrle (£5.9m) have also impressed in the cut-price bracket.

Pereyra has three goals for Watford and has risen £0.3m in price. Only Salah and Mane have bettered his nine shots inside the penalty area from midfield.

Schurrle has scored in back-to-back Gameweeks against Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion.

But, the Fulham winger’s threat has mainly been limited to efforts from distance. Only six of the German's 14 shots were from inside the opposition penalty area.

Also in this series

Part 1: ICT Index: Set-pieces make Holebas No 1
Part 2: ICT Index: Alonso goal threat on the up
Part 3: ICT Index: Fraser big on creativity
Part 5: ICT Index: Aguero an all-round threat in Fantasy

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