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ICT Analysis: Run of starts boosts Morata

The Scout 16 Nov 2018
Alvaro Morata, Chelsea

The Scout says Chelsea forward is showing levels of threat only Sergio Aguero can beat

The Scout runs the rule over players ranked highly over the last four Gameweeks in the ICT Index.

The Index helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players' values as FPL assets through their Influence, Creativity and Threat.

Alvaro Morata (CHE) £8.7m

The Spaniard has been a significant threat for Chelsea in recent matches.

Top forwards for ICT Threat GW9-12

Player ICT Threat Shots Shots in box Goals
Aguero 240 16 13 3
Lacazette 215 10 9 1
Morata 210 13 11 3
Wilson 189 11 11 3
Kane 178 14 8 1
Shooting star

Morata's three goals and eight shots on target over the last four Gameweeks are both ranked joint-top among FPL forwards.

And his total of 11 shots inside the penalty area is bettered only by the 13 of Sergio Aguero (£11.4m).

A run of starts in the Chelsea first XI has boosted Morata's prospects.

He has been named on the teamsheet in each of the last four Gameweeks, having started only four of the first eight fixtures.

Improving accuracy

His statistics suggest a forward in form.

Over the last four Gameweeks, 61.5 per cent of Morata's shots have been on target, compared with 42.9 per cent before.

Crucially, his goal-conversion rate has also climbed, up from 14.3 per cent to 23.1 per cent.

While team-mates Eden Hazard (£11.3m) and Marcos Alonso (£7.0m) are among the three most popular players in FPL, only 2.8 per cent of managers own Morata.

But from Gameweeks 17 to 22, Chelsea's improving schedule can raise interest in the striker.

Chelsea's opponents GW17-22

17 BHA (A) 3 20 CRY (A) 2
18 LEI (H) 3 21 SOU (H) 2
19 WAT (A) 3 22 NEW (H) 2
Differential appeal

All six of their opponents score three or less in the Fixture Difficulty Rankings (FDR).

If Morata maintains his form and starting role, he could be a major differential option over that festive period.

Also in this series

Part 1: ICT Analysis: Digne influence growing
Part 2: ICT Analysis: Bellerin threat on the rise
Part 3: ICT Analysis: Assists raising Fraser value
Part 4: ICT Analysis: Paterson shining in role switch
Part 5: ICT Analysis: Success a cut-price creator

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