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ICT Analysis: Bellerin threat on the rise

The Scout 15 Nov 2018
Hector Bellerin, Arsenal

The Scout says Arsenal right-back is flourishing under new head coach Emery

The Scout runs the rule over players ranked highly over the last four Gameweeks in the ICT Index.

The Index helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players' values as FPL assets through their Influence, Creativity and Threat.

Hector Bellerin (ARS) £5.4m

The Arsenal right-back was the standout defender for ICT Threat over the last four Gameweeks.

 Top defenders for ICT Threat GW9-12
Player ICT Threat Shots Shots in box Goals
Bellerin 71 7 4 0
Dunk 70 2 2 2
Robertson 68 4 3 0
Rudiger 68 4 2 1
Ake 68 3 3 0

*Rotate to view full table on mobile devices

Bellerin's seven shots were joint-top among defenders during that period.

He also recorded 16 touches inside the opposing penalty box, second only to the 17 of Cardiff City centre-back Sean Morrison (£4.8m).

And, although the Arsenal right-back failed to score, four of his shots were from inside the penalty area.

Assessed against his early-season showings, Bellerin's eye for goal has improved.

He managed only five shots, three from inside the penalty area, in the opening eight matches.

Assists on rise

The Spaniard's creativity has also made a big impact in the first 12 Gameweeks.

Bellerin’s four assists have already matched his total from last term.

This indicates his potential for attacking returns has stepped up since the appointment of Unai Emery as head coach.

Tough run

However, the Gunners' immediate schedule suggests interest in Bellerin is likely to cool.

They have a trio of testing matches against AFC Bournemouth, Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea up next.

But from Gameweek 16, investment in Arsenal's key players can pay off.

Arsenal's GW16-21 opponents
GW Opp FDR GW Opp FDR
16  HUD (H)  19  BHA (A) 
17  SOU (A)  20  LIV (A) 
18  BUR (H)  21  FUL (H) 

Four of their subsequent six opponents score only two in the Fixture Difficulty Rankings (FDR).

That could promote Bellerin as a big-hitting differential in defence, with only 10.5 per cent ownership in Fantasy.

Also in this series

Part 1: ICT Analysis: Digne influence growing
Part 3: ICT Analysis: Assists raising Fraser value
Part 4: ICT Analysis: Paterson shining after role switch
Part 5: ICT Analysis: Success a cut-price creator
Part 6: ICT Analysis: Run of starts boosts Morata

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