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Race for Golden Boot: Aguero the most lethal

19 Feb 2018
Golden Boot Sergio Aguero

We look at leading contenders for this season's Golden Boot and find out who's the most ruthless in front of goal

With the race for the 2017/18 Premier League Golden Boot hotting up, we compare the three leading contenders.

Who scores most frequently?

Looking more closely at the statistics behind the form of Harry Kane, Mohamed Salah and Sergio Aguero reveals that the Manchester City striker is the most ruthless, the Tottenham Hotspur man the most likely to have a shot and the Liverpool player the most profligate.

Aguero's 21 goals have come from the fewest minutes of the three. The City striker has played only 22 matches and has had four hours fewer of Premier League action than Salah and a full seven fewer than Kane.

The City man's goals have come once every 85 minutes, compared with Salah's one every 93 and Kane's goal every 95.

   Kane Salah Aguero
Played 26 26 22
Mins 2228 2036 1788
Goals 23 22 21
Kane not shot-shy

Kane is by far the player of the three who is most prepared to have a go at goal.

He averages almost six shots per match and his total of 150 is 47 more than Salah and 62 ahead of Aguero.

But the Spurs man is also the best of the three when presented with a chance he is expected to score.

Kane has converted 18 of 32 "big chances" he has enjoyed, or 56.3%.

Aguero is not far behind, converting 54% of his big chances, but Salah has a conversion rate of "only" 44%, missing more of his big chances than he scores.

Aguero making difficult easy

Aguero's ability to fashion goals out of difficult chances means he enjoys the biggest difference between his actual goals and his expected goals (xG) scored.

Aguero's xG is 15.4 for the season, more than five lower than his actual 21 goals.

Salah has the next biggest difference, an xG of 17.8 compared with 22 actual goals, while Kane has scored more than 2.5 more goals than expected.

  Kane Salah Aguero
Shots 150 103 88
Shot conversion 15.3% 21.4% 23.9%
Mins/goal 96.9 92.6 85.1
Big chances 32 32 26
Big chances scored 18 14 14
Big chance conversion  56.3% 43.8% 53.8%
Expected goals (xG) 20.4 17.8 15.4
xG per 90 0.82 0.79 0.78
Also in this series

Part 1: Race for Golden Boot: Trio move clear of the pack
Part 2: Race for Golden Boot: Kane the most balanced
Part 4: Race for Golden Boot: Salah strikes the most valuable
Part 5: Race for Golden Boot: History favours Kane

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