2023/24 rankings: Which players scored more goals than expected?

24 May 2024
Foden goal

Find out who overachieved their expected goals by the largest margin this season

After an enthralling Premier League season, we have analysed the key stats powered by Oracle and will show you in a series of articles revealing which players have run furthest or fastest, had the most shots or displayed ruthlessness in front of goal over the course of the last 10 months, not only overall but at each of the 20 clubs.

More goals than expected

In terms of overperforming from Expected Goals (xG) Phil Foden finished the campaign in first. The Manchester City star's actual total of 19 Premier League goals was 8.66 more than the EA SPORTS Player of the Season was expected to score.

Next came Callum Hudson-Odoi, who achieved his best Premier League goalscoring season of eight goals for Nottingham Forest, despite recording an xG of only 2.73.

In third is Jean-Philippe Mateta who had a superb upturn in form when Oliver Glasner came in to replace Roy Hodgson in February, scoring 13 of his 19 goals from that point on, a total that was 5.06 above his xG.

Top 10 for more goals scored than expected
Player Club Goals xG Goals-xG
Phil Foden MCI 19 10.34 +8.66
Callum Hudson-Odoi NFO 8 2.73 +5.27
Jean-Philippe Mateta CRY 16 10.94 +5.06
Son Heung-min TOT 17 12.01 +4.99
Diogo Jota LIV 10 5.32 +4.68
Michael Olise CRY 10 5.51 +4.49
Jarrod Bowen WHU 16 11.65 +4.35
Hwang Hee-Chan WOL 12 7.68 +4.32
Leandro Trossard ARS 12 7.9 +4.10
Elijah Adebayo LUT 10 5.91 +4.09
Top players for more goals scored than expected at other clubs
Player Club Goals xG Goals-xG
Leon Bailey AVL 10 6.31 +3.69
Antoine Semenyo BOU 8 4.64 +3.36
Mathias Jensen BRE 3 0.7 +2.30
Simon Adingra BHA 6 4.31 +1.69
Dara O'Shea BUR 3 0.75 +2.25
Cole Palmer CHE 22 18.21 +3.79
Idrissa Gueye EVE 4 1.33 +2.67
Raul Jimenez FUL 7 5.15 +1.85
Rasmus Hojlund MUN 10 7.64 +2.36
Bruno Guimaraes NEW 7 4.83 +2.17
Gustavo Hamer SHU 4 2.98 +1.02
Also in this series, powered by Oracle

Part 1: Who covered the most distance in a match?
Part 2: Who covered the most distance this season?
Part 3: Who created the most chances?
Part 4: Who had the most shots?
Part 5: Who completed the most dribbles?
Part 6: Who made the most interceptions?
Part 7: Who made the most tackles?
Part 8: Who played the most minutes?
Part 9: Who scored fewer goals than expected?
Part 11: Who were the fastest players?
Part 12: Who won the most duels?
Part 13: Which goalkeepers made the most saves?
Part 14: Which goalkeepers stopped the most goals?

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