The Scout assesses the best way to invest in clubs who will play twice in Double Gameweek 25 of Fantasy Premier League.
Luton Town
Luton have the form and fixtures to offer major value in all outfield positions over the coming period.
They have TWO Double Gameweeks in the space of a month, in both Gameweek 25 and Gameweek 28.
Luton's matches GW25-28
| GW | Opp. | FDR |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | MUN (H) | 3 |
| LIV (A) | 5 | |
| 26 | BLANK | |
| 27 | AVL (H) | 3 |
| 28 | CRY (A) | 2 |
| BOU (A) | 2 | |
When assessing the Hatters’ prospects, the best starting point is Gameweek 15, which coincides with the return of Elijah Adebayo (£4.9m) to their first XI.
The striker has been a revelation, scoring seven goals and supplying an assist in the subsequent nine matches to claim 53 points. Not only is that a team-high total, it places Adebayo third among all forwards in Fantasy.
Wing-back Alfie Doughty (£4.6m) has also been a key performer for Rob Edwards’ side.
He is the fourth top-scoring defender in Fantasy from Gameweek 15 onwards, amassing 48 points. His delivery from the left flank has helped him claim six assists in this run, in addition to one goal, two clean sheets and six bonus points.
Ross Barkley (£5.0m) has also started all nine of those matches, scoring three goals and supplying three assists from central midfield.
Carlton Morris (£5.0m) is another name to consider. The forward has been involved in seven goals despite featuring off the bench on six occasions in this period.
Notably, Morris has now started Luton’s last five matches across all competitions and appears to have regained his role in the first XI at the expense of Andros Townsend (£5.0m).
Luton's last nine matches
| Player | Points | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets* | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adebayo | 53 | 7 | 1 | N/A | 4 |
| Doughty | 48 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| Barkley | 46 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Morris | 39 | 3 | 4 | N/A | 4 |
*Midfielders earn one point per clean sheet compared with the four of defenders
Who has the greatest goal threat?
Barkley leads the way on 25 shots, a total bettered by only five other midfielders in Fantasy over this period.
However, only nine of those attempts were from inside the box due to Barkley’s deep-lying role for the Hatters.
Adebayo places top for shots in the box, big chances and shots on target, although his lofty goal conversion rate of 36.8 per cent does look somewhat unsustainable.
Although Chiedozie Ogbene (£4.9m) has matched the nine shots in the box and six shots on target of Barkley, the forward is currently playing as a right wing-back, which dents his appeal considerably.
Luton's main goal threats
| Player | Shots | Shots in box | Big chances | Shots on target | Goal conversion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barkley | 25 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 12% |
| Adebayo | 19 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 36.8% |
| Morris | 12 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 25% |
| Ogbene | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 10% |
Who is the most creative?
Barkley’s all-round influence on the Hatters is further highlighted by the creativity numbers.
The former Everton star places first among team-mates with 22 key passes and five big chances, helping him to three assists in that period.
Although Barkley has shared free-kick duties with Doughty, the latter is far and away their dominant player for corner kicks, taking 53 of their 56 across the Hatters’ last nine matches.
Doughty’s 21 key passes sit second among defenders, while his four big chances created were joint-second.
Both Ogbene and Adebayo have shown further promise with 11 and eight chances created respectively.
Luton's top creators
| Player | Key passes | Big chances created | Corner-kicks | Free-kick cross |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barkley | 22 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Doughty | 21 | 4 | 53 | 10 |
| Ogbene | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Adebayo | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
So, who are the best Luton players to invest in?
Doughty and Adebayo both have the form and underlying numbers to reward managers for many Gameweeks to come.
Luton’s total of seven goals from set-pieces from Gameweek 15 places second among all sides, and with six of those coming from corners, Doughty is set to offer plenty of assist potential.
While Adebayo’s recent goal conversion rate is somewhat concerning, the numbers indicate he is very much at the heart of the gilt-edged opportunities they create.
Morris, nonetheless, could be a worthwhile alternative if he retains his starting role, as he is also the Hatters’ first-choice penalty-taker when selected.
Barkley’s numbers indicate he could be a worthwhile investment for managers who are in need of a budget midfielder to free up funds to bring in Erling Haaland (£14.4m).
Nonetheless, with Liverpool and Manchester City also playing twice in Double Gameweek 25, Barkley faces a tough task to find his way into managers’ midfields.
View all the latest FPL tips ahead of Double Gameweek 25 in Fantasy Premier League