Talking Tactics

Has Arteta made the right call replacing Ramsdale with Raya?

By Adrian Clarke 11 Oct 2023
Ramsdale v Raya TT

Adrian Clarke compares the Arsenal goalkeepers' stats to analyse Arteta's reasons for a change

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Player analysis: Aaron Ramsdale & David Raya

Mikel Arteta’s decision to make Raya his first-choice goalkeeper in place of Ramsdale has been one of the most-discussed decisions of the campaign.

Signing a new long-term contract earlier this year, the 25-year-old Ramsdale had not made any significant mistakes and is extremely popular among Arsenal supporters.

Yet after snapping up Raya on a season-long loan from Brentford - with a view to a permanent transfer - Arteta took just four Premier League matches to make a change between the sticks.

Why has he made this emotive call? Let’s take a closer look.

Passing the numbers test 

Ramsdale’s distribution is excellent.

Since joining Arsenal, his confidence at pinging longer range passes into midfield has soared and mistakes have been few and far between.

Despite that, Raya’s data in this department still comfortably outshines him.

Across the same six-match sample in all competitions this season, the Spaniard has made more passes, with greater accuracy than Ramsdale.

Whether those passes have been short or long, it is Raya who is more involved and reliable.

Raya v Ramsdale stats comparison all competitions
2023/24 Raya Ramsdale
Matches played 6 6
Minutes played 540 540
Passes 241 167
Successful passes 192 111
Passing accuracy   79.7 66.5
Long passes 91 79
Successful long passes   44 24
Long passing accuracy 48.4% 30.4%
Touches 305 211
Possession lost   50 57
Possession lost  % 16.4 27.0
Taking his time

Raya is also less rushed in possession, deliberately taking his time to lure opponents onto him before releasing the pass. 

This style is reminiscent of what we see from Manchester City’s Ederson, or either of Roberto De Zerbi’s goalkeepers at Brighton & Hove Albion

If a short pass is not on, Raya will strike the ball forward over long distances to try and catch out sides who have squeezed up for the press.

Across his four Premier League starts, he has made 13 launches, compared to Ramsdale’s six, with Raya leading 6-2 for accurate launch passes. 

Stylistically it is becoming clear that Arteta prefers his 'keeper to perform in this manner with the ball at their feet. 

Has it helped the Gunners build better attacks? 

Until this point, they have created one more chance from passing sequences that involved Raya.

Raya v Ramsdale involvement comparison
2023/24 Raya Ramsdale
Minutes played 360 360
Involvement in build-up sequences 125 92
Involvement in shot-ending build-up sequences 3 2

One other nuance that differentiates Raya and Ramsdale is the direction of passes they make.

Raya likes to shift the ball left to Gabriel far more regularly than his team-mate, who tends to start build-up phases with a pass to William Saliba or Ben White to his right.

Raya also makes a higher percentage of progressive forward passes, which is sure to carry favour with Arteta.

David Raya's passing (L) v Aaron Ramsdale's passing (R)
Arsenal goalkeepers passing image
Authority in the area

Ever since he became a Premier League 'keeper with Brentford, Raya’s aerial prowess has caught the eye.

He is not the tallest, but he is one of the most assertive around, regularly coming out to claim crosses that enter his box.

In this respect, he does have the upper hand over Ramsdale, who is less of an authoritative presence when balls are whipped into the area.

Raya v Ramsdale handling comparison
2023/24 Raya Ramsdale
Minutes played 360 360
Catches 6 1
Punches 2 0
Drops 0 1
The shot-stopping stats

It would be unfair to suggest that Ramsdale or Raya have been at fault for any of the Premier League goals they have conceded this season.

Three clean sheets from four will please Raya, who let in two goals in the north London derby.

Ramsdale may look back at Andreas Pereira’s strike for Fulham in a 2-2 draw and question the way he turned, as he scampered back towards his own goal, but it was by no means a major error.

When you assess the statistics, it does feel as if Arteta’s decision to start Raya has been justified until this point.

According to Opta, his save success rates are higher than Ramsdale, and he has prevented an additional 1.4 goals being scored, compared to his predecessor, who is in negative territory.

Raya v Ramsdale save success comparison
2023/24 Raya Ramsdale
Minutes played 360 360
Saves 5 5
Save success rate 71.4% 55.6%
Save success rate inside box 60% 57.14%
Save success rate outside box 100% 50%
Goals prevented 1.4 -1.8

While it does feel incredibly harsh on Ramsdale to lose his place, it is also difficult to form a strong argument that he has outperformed Raya.

Raya did look nervous in the early stages of Arsenal’s 1-0 win against Manchester City, but to his credit, he recovered well to maintain his clean sheet.

From a stylistic perspective, Arteta seems to prefer Raya’s tranquillity in possession and his decision-making on the ball.

On top of that, his strength in various other facets of goalkeeping also point towards the right call being made.

It looks like it is going to be incredibly tough for Ramsdale to reclaim his place if Raya continues performing the way he has.

Also in this series

Part 2: What's behind Haaland's drop in form at Man City?
Part 3: How Chelsea are getting the best out of revitalised Sterling
Part 4: Maddison magic and rapid defenders: Why Spurs are the real deal

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