After a Premier League season like no other, we have downloaded the key stats and will show you in a series of articles which teams and players have run furthest or fastest, had the most shots or showed ruthlessness in front of goal over the course of the last 10 months.
Expected Goals (xG)
The Expected Goals (xG) metric is a model used to assess every goal-scoring chance, and the likelihood of scoring. Arsenal were the best team in terms of converting their chances to goals, scoring 88 goals in total from an Expected Goals metric of 73.33. So the Gunners scored over 14 goals more than the data expected of them.
Conversely, the table below shows Chelsea were the team who struggled the most to convert their chances. They were expected to score almost 51 goals, but in fact only scored 38 all season.
Clubs ranked by goals to xG
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals-xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 88 | 73.33 | +14.67 |
| Man City | 94 | 80.47 | +13.53 |
| Spurs | 70 | 57.81 | +12.19 |
| Fulham | 55 | 47.03 | +7.97 |
| Liverpool | 75 | 73.74 | +1.26 |
| Brentford | 58 | 57.89 | +0.11 |
| Crystal Palace | 40 | 39.95 | +0.05 |
| Aston Villa | 51 | 50.99 | +0.01 |
| Leicester | 51 | 51.32 | -0.32 |
| Leeds | 48 | 48.57 | -0.57 |
| Nott'm Forest | 38 | 39.78 | -1.78 |
| Southampton | 36 | 38.41 | -2.41 |
| Bournemouth | 37 | 39.46 | -2.46 |
| Brighton | 72 | 74.75 | -2.75 |
| Newcastle | 68 | 73.48 | -5.48 |
| Wolves | 31 | 37.84 | -6.84 |
| West Ham | 42 | 50.77 | -8.77 |
| Man Utd | 58 | 68.74 | -10.74 |
| Everton | 34 | 45.78 | -11.78 |
| Chelsea | 38 | 50.08 | -12.08 |
In terms of players, Harry Kane was the best performer for making difficult chances into goals. The Tottenham Hotspur striker was presented with opportunities to score that totalled almost 21.5 goals, but in fact registered 30 goals in 2022/23, more than eight goals higher.
Top 10 players for xG to goals
| Player | Goals | xG | Goals-xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 30 | 21.46 | 8.54 |
| Erling Haaland | 36 | 28.66 | 7.34 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 15 | 9.13 | 5.87 |
| Roberto Firmino | 11 | 5.5 | 5.50 |
| Phil Foden | 11 | 5.92 | 5.08 |
| Martin Odegaard | 15 | 9.99 | 5.01 |
| Rodrigo | 13 | 8.12 | 4.88 |
| Harvey Barnes | 13 | 8.94 | 4.06 |
| Pascal Gross | 9 | 5.41 | 3.59 |
| Dwight McNeil | 7 | 3.53 | 3.47 |
Expected Goals Against (xGA)
In a similar fashion Expected Goals Against (xGA) looks at the quality of the chances conceded by a team and gives them a measurement of how likely they were to be a goal.
Here, Fulham are the team to have performed best, conceding only 53 goals when they were expected to let in more than 65. Spurs cumulated chances on their own goal that totalled over 50, yet conceded 63 goals in total, the worst performance for xGA from Premier League teams.
Clubs ranked by goals conceded to xGA
| Team | Goals conceded | xGA | Goals xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 53 | 65.56 | -12.56 |
| Everton | 57 | 66.85 | -9.85 |
| Man Utd | 43 | 51.18 | -8.18 |
| Aston Villa | 46 | 53.42 | -7.42 |
| Newcastle | 33 | 40.09 | -7.09 |
| Chelsea | 47 | 53.43 | -6.43 |
| Brentford | 46 | 51.76 | -5.76 |
| Liverpool | 47 | 51.67 | -4.67 |
| Wolves | 58 | 60.78 | -2.78 |
| Man City | 33 | 33.07 | -0.07 |
| Crystal Palace | 49 | 48.88 | +0.12 |
| Arsenal | 43 | 42.47 | +0.53 |
| West Ham | 55 | 54.33 | +0.67 |
| Brighton | 53 | 50.56 | +2.44 |
| Leicester | 68 | 65.51 | +2.49 |
| Nott'm Forest | 68 | 65.19 | +2.81 |
| Bournemouth | 71 | 65.04 | 5.96 |
| Leeds | 78 | 67.99 | 10.01 |
| Southampton | 73 | 62.06 | 10.94 |
| Spurs | 63 | 50.39 | 12.61 |
Also in this series
Part 1: Which teams had the most shots?
Part 2: Which players had the most shots?
Part 4: Which players made most tackles and blocks?
Part 5: Who were the fastest players?
Part 6: Who ran the furthest?
Part 7: Which players created most chances?
Part 8: Which players were the top passers?
