Fantasy Premier League

The Scout’s FPL Gameweek 38 Differentials

By The Scout 16 May 2024
FPL Differentials MW38

See the four low-owned players tipped to shine in final Gameweek of 2023/24

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The Scout is tipping four low-owned players who can give managers an edge in the FINAL Gameweek of 2023/24 Fantasy Premier League.

Declan Rice (Arsenal) £5.5m

The midfielder’s creativity has been a driving force in Arsenal’s title quest over the second half of 2023/24.

Rice has supplied eight of his nine assists this season from Gameweek 21 onwards, a total bettered by just three other players in Fantasy.

Combined with four goals, 10 bonus points and a further 10 points from clean sheets, the England star has amassed 95 points in that spell. That places him joint-fifth among midfielders, level with Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne (£10.5m).

Top-scoring midfielders, Gameweeks 21-37
Player Pts G A CS Bonus
Palmer 144 13 7 5 20
Havertz 122 8 9 12 15
Saka 119 10 5 10 18
Foden 119 12 2 8 16
De Bruyne 95 4 10 7 11
Rice 95 4 8 10 10

An increased share of dead-ball duties has been fundamental to Rice’s upturn in output. After taking only three corners in the opening 20 Gameweeks, he has taken 41 of Arsenal’s subsequent 99. 

His delivery has helped the Gunners score 11 goals from set-pieces, including eight headed goals, across Gameweeks 21-37. Both these figures are league-leading totals.

At a cost of just £5.5m, Rice’s growing influence in Arsenal’s must-win match could deliver big value in Fantasy on the final day of the season.

Rodrigo Muniz (Fulham) £4.3m

A visit to Luton Town gives the Fulham frontman the chance to end his breakout Fantasy campaign in style.

Since returning to the Cottagers’ starting line-up in Gameweek 23, Muniz has scored nine goals and supplied two assists to establish himself as their first-choice forward.

Although seven of those goals were scored at Craven Cottage, the Brazilian’s record against promoted sides indicates he can reward Fantasy investors.

Muniz has scored in each of his away matches against such opponents this season, totalling 14 points in his encounters with Burnley and Sheffield United.

Harvey Elliott (Liverpool) £4.8m

Liverpool’s midfielder entertains Wolverhampton Wanderers in improving form in Fantasy. Elliott’s assist against Aston Villa on Monday evening means he has delivered attacking returns in back-to-back Gameweeks for the first time this season. 

The 21-year-old’s goal, assist and 12-point haul against Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 36 also highlights his growing influence in home matches.

Despite starting only three home fixtures, Elliott has delivered three double-figure hauls at Anfield this term, second only to the five of Mohamed Salah (£13.4m) among team-mates.

When assessed against other Liverpool players who have played 500+ minutes at Anfield this season, Elliott fares very well in terms of frequency. 

He has earned a point every 12.9 minutes in home matches, the third-quickest among those players. Furthermore, Elliott’s 31 minutes per key pass ranks second, while his 25.3 minutes per shot claims fifth place. 

Although his 43.5 per cent shot accuracy was bettered by just two team-mates, Elliott has been undone by a poor 8.7 per cent goal conversion rate.

Nonetheless, as his effort against Spurs attests to, the midfielder appears to be brimming with confidence ahead of Sunday’s Anfield finale. 

Elliott compared with Liverpool players, home matches*
2023/24 Total Team rank
Mins/point 12.9 3rd
Mins/shot 25.3 5th
Mins/key pass 31 2nd
Shot accuracy 43.5% 3rd
Goal conv. 8.7% 8th

*Players with 500+ minutes in home matches 

Callum Hudson-Odoi (Nott’m Forest) £4.7m

Nottingham Forest’s winger has the form to extend his run of returns away to relegated Burnley.

Hudson-Odoi has amassed 22 points in the previous two Gameweeks, scoring three goals across his clashes with Chelsea and Sheff Utd. 

His two goals at Bramall Lane earned Hudson-Odoi 15 points, his fourth and highest double-figure return of the season.

Encouragingly, Hudson-Odoi’s first big haul came against his upcoming hosts Burnley back in Gameweek 4, when he scored and picked up 10 points. 

The underlying statistics show Hudson-Odoi has been a major all-round influence on the Nott’m Forest attack under Nuno Espirito Santo.

His total of 18 shots on target is more than any team-mate since the Portuguese arrived as head coach. Meanwhile Hudson-Odoi’s 35 shots, 24 shots in the box and 28 key passes all place second in that spell.

Burnley’s defensive data could barely be more encouraging for their visitors, with just a single clean sheet in 18 attempts at Turf Moor.

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