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FPL watchlist: Wilson an early differential

The Scout 15 Jul 2021
Callum Wilson, Newcastle

The Scout says Fantasy managers are wrong to overlook Newcastle forward for start of 2021/22

As Fantasy Premier League managers can now select their 15-man squads, The Scout analyses standout budget and premium players in each position.

Callum Wilson (NEW) £7.5m

A favourable run of early opponents can help Newcastle United enjoy a strong start to the new campaign.

Newcastle face only two of last season's top eight sides in the first seven Gameweeks.

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According to the Fixture Difficulty Ratings (FDR), only one of their opening nine matches scores more than three.

Newcastle’s first 10 Gameweeks
GW Opp. FDR GW Opp. FDR
1 WHU (H) 3 6 WAT (A) 2
2 AVL (A) 3 7 WOL (A) 3
3 SOU (H) 2 8 TOT (H) 3
4 MUN (A) 4 9 CRY (A) 2
5 LEE (H) 3 10 CHE (H) 4

Wilson was a huge influence on Newcastle's attack in his first season at St James’ Park in 2020/21.

When selected, the forward was involved in a team-leading 58 per cent of their goals.

He scored 12 times, including a debut goal in a 2-0 win at West Ham United, whom he faces in Gameweek 1 of the upcoming campaign.

He also supplied six assists from only 26 appearances.

Wilson's goal v West Ham

Wilson returned 5.2 points per match (ppm), the third-best average of any forward in Fantasy last term.

Indeed, that bettered the 5.1ppm of Leeds United’s Patrick Bamford (£8.0m), the second highest-scoring FPL forward of last season. 

Top attacking threat

The underlying numbers further underline Wilson’s importance to Newcastle.

Although he missed 12 matches, his 49 shots and 44 shots in the box were more than any team-mate.

Furthermore, his total of 21 big chances was at least three times that of any other Newcastle player.

Major differential

Despite his impressive stats, Wilson has largely been ignored by managers in Fantasy.

He is owned by a mere 4.7 per cent, making him the 17th most-selected forward. 

L NEW 2-4 WHU
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That gives managers the chance to pick a major differential who can thrive over Newcastle's early matches. 

See: The Scout's FPL watchlist for 2021/22

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