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ICT Analysis: Run of starts lifts Lukaku

The Scout 24 Mar 2019
Romelu Lukaku, Arsenal v Man United

The Scout says in-form Man Utd striker can prove a big differential in the season run-in

The Scout runs the rule over Double Gameweek 32 players ranked highly over their last four matches in the ICT Index.

The Index helps Fantasy Premier League managers look beyond points to determine players' values as FPL assets through their Influence, Creativity and Threat.

Romelu Lukaku (MUN) £10.8m

The striker is the latest Manchester United player to impress under caretaker manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.

DGW32 forwards for Threat GW27-30
Player ICT Threat Shots Shots in box Goals
Lukaku 280 14 13 4
Higuain 226 18 13 1
Kane 208 16 9 3
Aguero 206 17 13 4
Zaha 155 7 6 3

Lukaku has started each of his side's last five Premier League matches, netting twice against both Crystal Palace and Southampton.

He also scored a brace in United's recent UEFA Champions League win over Paris Saint-Germain.

The underlying statistics over his last four Gameweek appearances show why Lukaku has been so prolific.

On target 

His 13 shots inside the penalty area are joint-top with Sergio Aguero (£11.8m) and Gonzalo Higuain (£9.6m).

His total of nine shots on target is more than any other player in FPL.

Lukaku's underlying statistics also fare well when compared with his displays between Gameweeks 1-26.

His shots inside the box have more than doubled, from 1.5 to 3.2 per appearance, and so have his shots on target, which are up from 0.9 to 2.2.

Game changer

However, the Belgian has been largely overlooked by FPL managers for his Double Gameweek 32 against Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Only 5.0 per cent of managers own Lukaku, who is expected to recover from a minor ankle problem.

By comparison, team-mates Paul Pogba (£8.9m) and Marcus Rashford (£7.6m) are owned by 42.9 per cent and 28.6 per cent respectively.

This highlights that Lukaku can be a huge differential over the run-in, with a Double Gameweek 35 for United also to follow.

See: Double Gameweek 32 essential FPL reading

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